finance
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Tracking Small Business Optimism and Credit Availability: The NFIB Index and Regional Fed Loan Survey Diverge
In 2022, I was sitting in my office with a ton of rejection letters from my client who “should’ve” had…
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The Corporate Profit Margin Compression Puzzle: Sectoral Decomposition of Q1 2026 GDP Second Estimate
It was 2022, and I was in the board room with the CFO of a company that was watching their…
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Analyzing the June 2026 OPEC+ Production Decision: Spare Capacity, Geopolitics, and the Global Oil Price Trajectory
There have been several times in my trading experience over these last 3 years where I have sat back and…
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The European Central Bank’s Mid-2026 Monetary Path: Lagarde’s Balancing Act Between Sticky Services Inflation and Stalling Growth
I remember sitting in a boardroom in Frankfurt back in 2012, watching the markets panic over a single sentence from…
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China’s Property Market Stabilization Package After Evergrande’s Final Liquidation: Is a Floor Forming in 2026?
Back in 2021, I was in a boardroom at an office building in Shanghai as I witnessed the early signs…
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The Global Minimum Corporate Tax Phase-Out Deadline and the Rise of Subsidy Competition Among Advanced Economies
In 2021, I sat in a boardroom in Zurich and observed at first-hand the initial OECD announcements ripple throughout the…
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What a Prolonged El Niño-to-La Niña Transition Means for Global Soft Commodity Prices and Food Import Bills Through Q4 2026
I will never forget sitting in a board room in 2016 when a purchasing manager in the room turned white…
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How the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) Compliance Deadline Is Reshaping Palm Oil, Coffee, and Cocoa Supply Chains
Back in 2019, I was in a boardroom in Jakarta listening to one of our suppliers panic about a “traceability…
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The G7 Loan to Ukraine Using Frozen Russian Asset Proceeds: Legal Precedents and Sovereign Debt Market Implications
A few years ago, I was in a boardroom when the first round of sanctions were announced in 2014, and…
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The Canada-India Diplomatic Row’s Trade and Investment Fallout: Suspended FTA Talks and Education Visa Caps
In 2023, while sitting in a boardroom in Toronto, I could not have been more enthusiastic about the Comprehensive Economic…
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